Paper research — no live capital Research delay: 60 min

Lab Portfolio

Every simulated position this research has opened — wins, losses, and outages, all preserved. No real orders are placed; no customer funds are involved. Data current through 2026-10-31 11:00 UTC.

This summary reflects the 56 closed trades with complete price data. 113 trades have closed in total. The rest are missing an entry or exit price on one or both legs — the source system only began reliably recording these partway through this project's history — so True P&L can't be computed for them, and they're excluded here rather than shown as zero. Full record, every trade included: Download full record (CSV). See Methodology.
Capital denominator: every position is sized at a fixed $10,000 notional — there is no shared capital pool being drawn down or compounded across positions. Dollar P&L is additive across trades; it is not a percentage return on a portfolio balance.

Position Capacity

These figures describe the simulation's position-capacity ceiling (how many slots the strategy allows across both venues), not real capital in an account — no live account is funded on Coinbase INTX or Interactive Brokers behind this research. They also treat both legs' notional as 1:1, which understates real capital efficiency: the Interactive Brokers hedge leg is typically unlevered (close to full notional in real capital), while the Coinbase INTX perp leg is margined and would use only a fraction of its notional as actual margin, varying by instrument. This page doesn't currently model per-instrument margin requirements, so these figures show notional exposure only, not real cash utilization.
Capacity ceiling
$160,000
6 HL slots + 10 INTX slots × $10,000 notional
Deployed
$50,000
Unused capacity
$110,000
Capacity utilization
31.2%
Active positions
5
Predicted annual yield
+21.3%
SILVER GOOGL TSM SNDK INTC Unused capacity

Predicted Annual Yield is an extrapolation, not a forecast: it annualizes the capital-day-weighted return observed across the 56 trades with complete price data plus current open positions (dollar P&L ÷ notional × days held, summed, then annualized to a 365-day year). Past performance — simulated or otherwise — does not indicate future results. This is not investment advice.

Open positions
5
Closed positions
56
Win rate (closed)
64%
Max drawdown (Net P&L)
-$1,153.36
Realized Net P&L
+$1,970.41
Realized True P&L (all-in)
+$2,563.76
Funding received (net)
+$2,170.88
Fees paid
-$723.50
Net P&L = funding − fees + naked-leg price P&L (the strategy's own accounting, drives win/loss counts).  True P&L = funding − fees + both legs' full price movement over their entire hold (what a real brokerage statement would show, hedge slip included). See Methodology for the full definitions. Naked-leg price P&L across all closed trades so far: +$534.72.
Cumulative P&L
-$263+$526+$1,315+$2,104+$2,8932026-05-262026-10-08now

Realized (closed trades, True P&L) — the gold point marks current unrealized (open positions, funding minus fees so far, not yet a True P&L since nothing's closed).

⭳ Download full record (CSV)

Open positions

SymbolVenueDirectionOpenedHoldEntry APRFunding so farRule version
SILVER INTX Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-08 06:49 UTC 23.2d +28.1% +$6.46 Lab Version
GOOGL INTX Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-21 16:48 UTC 9.8d +21.9% +$37.82 Lab Version
TSM INTX Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-27 13:30 UTC 3.9d +28.9% +$14.22 Lab Version
SNDK INTX Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-30 13:31 UTC 22h +37.6% +$2.24 Lab Version
INTC INTX Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-30 14:01 UTC 21h +106.3% +$8.45 Lab Version

Closed position history

SymbolDirectionOpenedClosed (perp / hedge)Hold FundingPerp P&LHedge P&LFees Net P&LTrue P&L
META Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-26 17:15 UTC 2026-10-27 11:30 UTC
2026-10-27 13:30 UTC
20h +$1.43 +$201.34 -$207.89 -$11.50 -$52.73 -$16.62
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-26 13:35 UTC 2026-10-28 16:46 UTC 2.1d +$3.19 -$1,050.81 +$1,031.45 -$11.50 -$8.31 -$27.66
TSM Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-23 16:03 UTC 2026-10-25 23:30 UTC
2026-10-26 13:30 UTC
2.9d +$7.12 +$19.29 -$36.59 -$11.50 -$16.21 -$21.68
META Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-21 15:18 UTC 2026-10-23 18:03 UTC 2.1d +$9.73 +$899.53 -$897.87 -$11.50 -$1.77 -$0.11
MU Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-21 13:38 UTC 2026-10-24 00:30 UTC
2026-10-26 13:30 UTC
5.0d +$13.05 +$537.63 -$401.48 -$11.50 +$134.99 +$137.70
TSM Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-21 13:38 UTC 2026-10-23 09:33 UTC
2026-10-23 13:33 UTC
2.0d +$11.91 +$432.69 -$488.90 -$11.50 -$1.04 -$55.80
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-21 13:38 UTC 2026-10-24 00:30 UTC
2026-10-26 13:30 UTC
5.0d +$17.73 +$1,313.25 -$1,178.83 -$11.50 +$104.37 +$140.65
TSLA Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-20 14:03 UTC 2026-10-21 17:03 UTC 1.1d +$3.04 -$454.67 +$455.93 -$11.50 -$8.46 -$7.19
TSM Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-20 13:48 UTC 2026-10-21 04:48 UTC
2026-10-21 13:33 UTC
24h +$3.59 -$280.78 +$390.04 -$11.50 +$189.77 +$101.36
AMZN Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-20 13:33 UTC 2026-10-21 03:33 UTC
2026-10-21 13:33 UTC
1.0d +$5.88 -$1.51 -$56.20 -$11.50 -$1.43 -$63.33
MU Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-20 13:33 UTC 2026-10-21 04:03 UTC
2026-10-21 13:33 UTC
1.0d +$2.85 -$387.84 +$466.47 -$11.50 +$330.44 +$69.98
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-19 13:38 UTC 2026-10-21 05:48 UTC
2026-10-21 13:33 UTC
2.0d +$13.40 -$294.91 +$417.51 -$11.50 +$381.80 +$124.50
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-16 13:38 UTC 2026-10-17 21:33 UTC
2026-10-19 13:33 UTC
3.0d +$12.86 +$932.89 +$95.73 -$11.50 +$472.00 +$1,029.98
QQQ Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-15 14:18 UTC 2026-10-17 05:33 UTC
2026-10-19 13:33 UTC
4.0d +$4.39 +$148.92 -$3.31 -$11.50 +$131.52 +$138.50
NVDA Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-12 14:19 UTC 2026-10-14 22:32 UTC
2026-10-15 13:33 UTC
3.0d +$3.78 +$294.87 -$432.39 -$11.50 -$268.90 -$145.24
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-12 13:49 UTC 2026-10-15 22:33 UTC
2026-10-16 13:33 UTC
4.0d +$18.71 +$681.75 -$939.32 -$11.50 -$331.76 -$250.35
AMD Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-09 14:49 UTC 2026-10-14 08:47 UTC
2026-10-14 13:32 UTC
4.9d +$22.57 +$172.18 -$388.93 -$11.50 -$253.82 -$205.69
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-08 14:19 UTC 2026-10-11 06:04 UTC
2026-10-12 13:34 UTC
4.0d +$9.27 +$375.13 -$672.85 -$11.50 -$294.99 -$299.95
MSFT Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-07 17:49 UTC 2026-10-13 17:32 UTC 6.0d +$7.62 -$291.06 +$296.55 -$11.50 -$3.88 +$1.61
NATGAS Short Hyperliquid Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-06 20:18 UTC 2026-10-11 22:04 UTC 5.1d +$558.25 -$894.55 +$310.60 -$17.00 +$541.25 -$42.70
TSM Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-06 14:03 UTC 2026-10-10 09:19 UTC
2026-10-12 13:34 UTC
6.0d +$10.82 +$641.63 -$645.42 -$11.50 -$7.52 -$4.48
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-05 16:48 UTC 2026-10-07 14:19 UTC 1.9d +$18.27 +$238.77 -$226.90 -$11.50 +$6.77 +$18.63
INTC Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-05 13:48 UTC 2026-10-06 15:18 UTC 1.1d +$25.12 +$290.70 -$270.34 -$11.50 +$13.62 +$33.98
MU Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-05 13:33 UTC 2026-10-17 02:48 UTC
2026-10-19 13:33 UTC
14.0d +$40.42 +$1,794.03 -$1,416.29 -$11.50 +$450.50 +$406.66
META Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-05 13:33 UTC 2026-10-07 19:19 UTC 2.2d +$4.42 +$71.77 -$58.00 -$11.50 -$7.08 +$6.70
GOOGL Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-01 14:30 UTC 2026-10-05 16:33 UTC 4.1d +$43.74 -$99.48 +$118.29 -$11.50 +$32.24 +$51.06
MSFT Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-01 14:15 UTC 2026-10-06 19:33 UTC 5.2d +$14.81 -$283.39 +$291.99 -$11.50 +$3.31 +$11.91
SPY Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-10-01 13:30 UTC 2026-10-08 19:04 UTC 7.2d +$41.08 -$106.67 +$111.14 -$11.50 +$29.58 +$34.05
NVDA Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-30 14:00 UTC 2026-10-02 19:18 UTC 2.2d +$9.17 -$119.53 +$122.49 -$11.50 -$2.33 +$0.64
AMZN Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-30 13:30 UTC 2026-10-08 19:04 UTC 8.2d +$26.90 -$309.84 +$318.08 -$11.50 +$15.40 +$23.64
PALLADIUM Short Hyperliquid Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-29 09:00 UTC 2026-10-15 08:18 UTC 16.0d +$74.35 +$771.62 -$827.22 -$17.00 +$57.35 +$1.74
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-24 19:18 UTC 2026-10-01 17:30 UTC 6.9d +$26.45 -$305.75 +$322.16 -$11.50 +$14.95 +$31.35
MU Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-21 14:19 UTC 2026-10-01 18:00 UTC 10.2d +$40.64 -$538.81 +$554.78 -$11.50 +$29.14 +$45.11
INTC Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-16 17:46 UTC 2026-09-27 22:34 UTC
2026-09-28 13:30 UTC
11.8d +$50.63 -$2,194.18 +$1,894.52 -$11.50 -$151.28 -$260.54
TSLA Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-14 18:16 UTC 2026-10-02 18:18 UTC 18.0d +$54.94 -$272.72 +$280.03 -$11.50 +$43.44 +$50.75
MU Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-14 13:36 UTC 2026-09-20 04:04 UTC
2026-09-21 13:34 UTC
7.0d +$31.69 -$1,032.81 +$1,478.64 -$11.50 +$299.78 +$466.02
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-14 13:36 UTC 2026-09-20 03:19 UTC
2026-09-21 13:34 UTC
7.0d +$15.56 -$1,511.64 +$2,001.44 -$11.50 +$203.30 +$493.86
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-11 16:35 UTC 2026-09-13 06:16 UTC
2026-09-14 13:31 UTC
2.9d +$2.80 +$125.14 -$640.75 -$11.50 -$685.83 -$524.30
NATGAS Short Hyperliquid Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-08 16:04 UTC 2026-09-12 15:16 UTC
2026-09-14 13:31 UTC
5.9d +$282.99 -$143.38 +$6.97 -$17.00 +$410.82 +$129.59
MU Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-08 14:19 UTC 2026-09-13 08:31 UTC
2026-09-14 13:31 UTC
6.0d +$21.49 +$716.67 -$1,063.95 -$11.50 -$662.35 -$337.29
AAPL Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-03 19:58 UTC 2026-10-02 16:33 UTC 28.9d +$61.06 -$155.84 +$152.49 -$11.50 +$49.56 +$46.22
MU Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-03 14:18 UTC 2026-09-06 14:34 UTC
2026-09-07 13:49 UTC
4.0d +$14.63 -$858.89 +$867.45 -$11.50 +$3.13 +$11.68
INTC Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-03 13:33 UTC 2026-09-07 23:34 UTC
2026-09-08 13:34 UTC
5.0d +$8.84 -$925.35 +$1,303.18 -$11.50 +$535.96 +$375.17
QQQ Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-09-03 13:33 UTC 2026-10-03 13:33 UTC
2026-10-05 13:33 UTC
32.0d +$84.67 -$537.85 +$543.99 -$11.50 +$72.50 +$79.31
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-08-31 13:36 UTC 2026-09-06 15:04 UTC
2026-09-07 13:49 UTC
7.0d +$27.38 -$1,831.91 +$1,706.73 -$11.50 +$15.88 -$109.30
AMD Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-08-31 13:36 UTC 2026-09-07 12:19 UTC
2026-09-07 13:49 UTC
7.0d +$23.73 -$276.72 +$257.53 -$11.50 +$12.23 -$6.96
SNDK Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-08-27 13:30 UTC 2026-08-30 23:01 UTC
2026-08-31 13:31 UTC
4.0d +$13.41 +$449.98 -$392.92 -$11.50 +$10.97 +$58.96
MU Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-08-25 13:30 UTC 2026-08-30 23:16 UTC
2026-08-31 13:31 UTC
6.0d +$22.14 +$88.35 +$124.25 -$11.50 +$68.47 +$223.25
NVDA Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-08-24 15:04 UTC 2026-08-30 08:00 UTC
2026-08-31 13:31 UTC
6.9d +$5.04 -$409.75 +$443.89 -$11.50 +$60.10 +$27.69
GOOGL Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-08-24 14:49 UTC 2026-09-23 14:53 UTC 30.0d +$77.31 +$227.73 -$219.60 -$11.50 +$65.81 +$73.94
AMD Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-08-24 14:04 UTC 2026-08-30 23:46 UTC
2026-08-31 13:31 UTC
7.0d +$19.44 -$232.79 +$332.20 -$11.50 +$79.25 +$107.35
INTC Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-08-24 13:49 UTC 2026-08-30 10:16 UTC
2026-08-31 13:31 UTC
7.0d +$20.99 -$454.28 +$559.24 -$11.50 +$149.76 +$114.45
SILVER Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-08-21 14:33 UTC 2026-08-30 21:31 UTC
2026-08-31 13:31 UTC
10.0d +$25.73 +$480.22 -$290.92 -$11.50 -$40.50 +$203.53
SPY Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-08-21 13:33 UTC 2026-09-06 17:49 UTC
2026-09-07 13:49 UTC
17.0d +$29.40 -$69.46 +$56.67 -$11.50 +$17.90 +$5.11
TSM Short Coinbase Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-08-19 14:18 UTC 2026-09-13 23:46 UTC
2026-09-14 13:31 UTC
26.0d +$80.10 -$301.46 +$252.57 -$11.50 -$271.40 +$19.71
NFLX Short Hyperliquid Perp
Long IB Spot
2026-05-25 04:03 UTC 2026-05-26 01:48 UTC 22h +$21.14 +$42.49 $0.00 -$17.00 +$4.14 +$46.63

Every trade this research has opened, wins and losses alike — including the ARM outage that produced this project's largest single loss — remains in the full record regardless of whether it appears in the table above: Download full record (CSV). See the incident writeups in the Research Journal.